¹Lili Salfina, ²Zaki, ³Meirinaldi, ⁴Sumarni, ⁵Elsya Meida Arief

^1,2Student University of Borobudur,Jakarta, Indonesia

^3,4,5Lecturers University of Borobudur, Jakarta, Indonesia

DOI : https://doi.org/10.47191/ijsshr/v5-i1-05

Google Scholar Download Pdf
ABSTRACT

The study aims to analyze the influence of rice production, crop dry grain prices (GKP), rice consumption, per capita income and the number of people moderated by rice prices that impact on farmers' well-being. This research method uses a quantitative approach with panel data. The study was conducted in West Sumatra Province in 19 districts / cities with secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of West Sumatra Province in 2013 - 2019. Data analysis uses multiple line regression with panel data.

Simultaneous and partial research results found that rice production, crop dry grain prices (GKP), rice consumption, per capita income, and population can have a significant and positive effect on rice prices in West Sumatra province. While the impact of rice prices has a significant and negative effect on the welfare of farmers in West Sumatra province. The price of dry grain harvest (GKP) is the main factor that affects the price of rice, where rice consumption is a contributing factor that affects the price of rice. Meanwhile, rice production, per capita income and population, is a variable factor of disruption, because rice consumption is influenced by income / purchasing power and the number of family members,and in addition when viewed from the impact, the price of rice has a significant and negative effect on the welfare of farmers.

KEYWORDS:

Rice production, Dry grain harvest prices, rice consumption, per capita income, population, rice prices and farmer welfare.

REFERENCES

1) Adeniyi, B. A., Amao, O., Daud, S. A., and Omotoso, A.B (2019), Econometric Analysis of Determinants of Rice Price Volatility in Nigeria (1970-2017), The International Journal of Engineering and Science (IJES), Volume: 8 Issue: 11 Series II,p. 20-25.

2) Abdul Bashir and Saadah Yuliana (2018), Identifying Factors Influencing Rice Production and Consumption in Indonesia, Journal of Development Economics: Study of Economic and Development Problems, 19 (2), p. 172-185.

3) Alan Dwi Wibowo, Armand Omar Moei, Candra B. Wigunab, T. A.C. Chaulan (2015), Policy model of production and price of rice in South Kalimantan, The 2014 International Conference on Agro-industry (ICoA): Competitive and sustainable Agroindustry for Human Welfare, Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia 3, p. 266 - 273

4) Boediono (2014), Microeconomics. Yogyakarta: BPFE

5) Corryati wardani (2019), Determinant Of Rice Consumption: Evidence From Panel Data In Indonesia, International Journal Of Mechanical Engineering And Technology (Ijmet), Volume 10, Issue 05, P. 160-168.

6) Deby Ananda Difah, Harianto, and Dedi Budiman Hakim (2019), Rice Price Transmission In Indonesia: Threshold Cointegration Approach, Journal of Food System and Agribusiness Vol. 3 (2),p. 31-39.

7) Emily Schmidt, Paul Dorosh, Rachel Gilbert (2020), Impacts of COVID-19 induced income and rice price shocks on household welfare in Papua New Guinea: Household model estimates, Agricultural Economics. , ;52,p. :391–406.

8) Edmund Conway (2015),50 Economic Ideas You Need to Know, Essence of Erlangga Group, Jakarta

9) I Made Yoga Prasada, Aura Dhamira, Agus Dwi Nugroho (2018), Supply Response of Paddy in East Java: Policy Implications to Increase Rice Production, AGRARIS: Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Develpoment Research, Vol. 4 No. 2,p. 130-138.

10) Imam Asngari, Suhel Suhel1, Abdul Bashir, Andi Nurul A. Arief, Era Susanti (2020), Rice Consumption Pattern of Rural Households in East OKU and South OKU Regencies South Sumatra Province Indonesia, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(1), p. 259-265.

11) Jhingan, M.L. (2007). Economic Development and Planning. Jakarta: King GrafindoPersada.

12) Hezekia Respatiadi and Hana Nabila (2018), Policy Options to Lower Rice Prices in Indonesia, Scientific Bulletin of Trade R&D, Vol. 12 no. 1, p. 95-115.

13) Husni Malian (2004) Kebijakan Perdagangan Internasional Komoditas Pertanian Indonesia. Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian. AKP Vol 2.

14) Kamil Maitah, Luboš Smutka , Jeta Sahatqija , Mansoor Maitah and Nguyen Phuong Anh (2020), Sustainability 2020, 12,5123; doi:10.3390/su12125123,p. 1-12.

15) Khairul Fahmi Purba, Muhammad Yazid, Mery Hasmeda, Dessy Adriani, Meitry Firdha Tafarini, Technical Efficiency And Factors Affecting Rice Production In Tidal Lowlands Of South Sumatra Province Indonesia, Potravinarstvo Slovak Journal of Food Sciences vol. 14, p. 101-111

16) Miller, Roger LeRoy and Roger E. Meiners, (2000). Microeconomics Intermediate Theory, Jakarta: PT Raja GrafindoPesada.

17) Mankiw, N. G. (2013.). Introduction to Macroeconomics, Jakarta: Publisher Salemba Four.

18) Mosher AT. 1987. Mobilizing and building agriculture the basic conditions of development and modernization. Translation from: Getting agriculture moving. Jakarta (ID): CV Yasaguna

19) Nongnooch Poramacom, PhD (2014), Rice Production, Prices and Related Policy in Thailand, International Journal of Business and Social Science, Vol. 5, No. 10(1),p. 201-210.

20) Prathama Rahardja. Manurung, Mandala (2006). Teori Ekonomi Mikro Suatu Pengantar, Edisi Ketiga, Jakarta; Lembaga Penerbit Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia.

21) Purbiyanti, E., Muhammad, Y., & Indri, J. (2017). Conversion of rice fields in Indonesia and its effect on the Government Purchase Price (HPP) policy of grain / rice. Journal of Management & Agribusiness, 14(3), 209– 217

22) Rahmasuciana, D. Y., & Darwanto, D. H. (2015). Terhadap Harga Beras Dalam Negeri, 26(2).

23) Ruauw, E. (2010), “Nilai Tukar Petani Sebagai Indikator Kesejateraan Petani.” Universitas Samratulangi, Manado. ASE 6 (2): p. 1–8

24) Sadono, Sukirno. (2013). Macroeconomic Theory Introduction. Jakarta: PT. Rajagrafindo Persada.

25) Simatupang, Pandjar; Mardianto, Sudi and Maulana Mohamad.( 2005). Evaluation of Grain Price Policy 2004. Agricultural Policy Analysis Vol. 3 No. 1, 2005 p. 1-11. www.pse.litbang.deptan.go.id

26) Suparyanto & Rosad. (2015). Manajemen Pemasaran, In Media, Yogyakarta

27) Suryana, A. dan S. Mardianto. (2001). Bunga Rampai Ekonomi Beras. Tim Pengkajian Kebijakan Perberasan Nasional dan Lembaga Penyelidikan Ekonomi dan Masyarakat, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta. 266 hlm

28) Wawan Hermawan, Fitrawaty, Indra Maipita (2017), Factors Affecting the Domestic Price of Rice in Indonesia, Jejak Vol 10 (1),p. 155-171.

29) Yogi Makbul (2019), Integration of Rice Prices at Producer, Wholesaler, and Urban and Rural Consumer Markets with Paddy Prices at the Farm Gate, Archives of Business Research – Vol.7, No.3, p. 1-11.

30) Yogi Makbul and Sudrajati Ratnaningtyas and Pradono Pradono (2017), Integration of Rice Prices at Producer, Wholesaler, and Urban and Rural Consumer Markets with Paddy Prices at the Farm Gate, Archives of Business Research – Vol.7, No.3, p.1-11

VOlUME 05 ISSUE 01 JANUARY 2022